Notre Dame
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
161  Michael Clevenger JR 32:02
162  Tim Ball JR 32:02
366  Jake Kildoo SR 32:37
551  Jacob Dumford SO 32:56
741  Scott Milling SO 33:15
875  Kevin Durham JR 33:28
913  Calvin Kraft FR 33:31
1,037  Chris Marco SO 33:42
1,142  Chris Quinn SR 33:52
National Rank #54 of 311
Great Lakes Region Rank #6 of 31
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.6%
Most Likely Finish 6th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 12.8%
Top 10 in Regional 98.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Michael Clevenger Tim Ball Jake Kildoo Jacob Dumford Scott Milling Kevin Durham Calvin Kraft Chris Marco Chris Quinn
Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 10/03 834 32:14 31:51 32:42 32:58 33:02 35:05 33:42
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/17 853 32:21 31:41 32:35 33:16 33:16 34:52 33:50
Wisconsin adidas Invitational - B 10/17 33:13 33:31
ACC Championships 10/31 845 32:00 32:14 32:39 32:44 33:24 34:55 33:21 33:45 34:07
Great Lakes Region Championships 11/14 818 31:45 32:32 32:28 32:48 33:10 33:39 33:01
NCAA Championship 11/22 31:49





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.6% 27.0 663 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Region Championship 100% 6.8 215 0.1 0.9 11.9 42.0 21.3 12.2 6.4 3.4 1.2 0.7 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Michael Clevenger 23.3% 114.1 0.0
Tim Ball 23.7% 111.8
Jake Kildoo 0.6% 172.0
Jacob Dumford 0.6% 194.0
Scott Milling 0.6% 235.7
Kevin Durham 0.6% 243.0
Calvin Kraft 0.6% 245.3


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Michael Clevenger 19.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.2 1.7 2.1 3.1 3.4 3.7 4.0 4.3 4.1 5.2 3.6 3.8 4.1 4.0 4.1 3.8 3.4 3.2 3.1 2.6
Tim Ball 18.8 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.6 2.3 3.0 3.1 3.9 4.2 4.8 4.5 3.9 4.9 4.5 3.8 3.9 3.9 3.3 2.8 2.9 2.7 2.6
Jake Kildoo 41.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.3 1.1 1.2
Jacob Dumford 55.4 0.0 0.0 0.0
Scott Milling 70.5
Kevin Durham 84.3
Calvin Kraft 88.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 0.1% 66.7% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3
4 0.9% 65.9% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 4
5 11.9% 0.2% 0.0 11.8 0.0 5
6 42.0% 42.0 6
7 21.3% 21.3 7
8 12.2% 12.2 8
9 6.4% 6.4 9
10 3.4% 3.4 10
11 1.2% 1.2 11
12 0.7% 0.7 12
13 0.1% 0.1 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
Total 100% 0.6% 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 99.4 0.0 0.6




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Eastern Michigan 1.8% 1.0 0.0
Iowa 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Penn 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Texas A&M 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Georgia Tech 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Bradley 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 2.0